Football power index nfl

Football season never truly ends. It's a little early to have any fully formed takes.

Luckily, the general consensus is I am a fool, and this fool is ready to feed the content beast. These rankings reflect how rosters stand now with some liberty taken with possible free agents. Things should change dramatically in March. Subscribe to our newsletter:. Despite the heartbreaking Super Bowl 58 loss, the 49ers opened the offseason as the favorite for the Super Bowl 59 crown. It makes sense. Depending on how you view Chase Young , there are no vital players headed for free agency, and while they lack a ton of cap space, the 49ers currently have the 11th-best draft capital in the league according to Tankathon.

Football power index nfl

The NFC East will feature a double-digit winner that must go on the road for the postseason. The NFC South has three teams vying for a home playoff game, all sitting at Such is the reality of the divisional format, which not only grants playoff berths for all division leaders but also doesn't reseed the teams, giving the top four slots and a home playoff game to the division winners. Ask yourself: How many teams can we truly trust right now? Our Nos. As a result, plenty of division races remain tight with a lot left to sort out in the NFL's middle and upper-middle classes -- at this point, only the 49ers are guaranteed a postseason berth. That's about all you can ask for as a football fan: Give me chaos for as long as possible leading up to the first week in January , when it all gets settled. It makes for harder, messier work in the Power Rankings sphere, but fear not: Complaining about my order on social media remains your afforded right. I wouldn't dare strip you of that. The funny thing about Sunday's double-digit win over the rival Seahawks? Someone just busts off a big play, and all is right in the 49ers' world. Brock Purdy held everything together. In fact, all of the Niners' top playmakers put up numbers, and Purdy's yard TD pass to Deebo Samuel should end the silly narratives around the quarterback's downfield passing ability.

The league year opens in mid-March, and we'll have plenty of free-agency and trade activity to account for. There's plenty of time for this to change, but the Giants have a mess on their hands. C Nations.

Skip to main content Skip to navigation. FPI Projections Efficiencies. Team San Francisco 49ers. Baltimore Ravens. Buffalo Bills. Dallas Cowboys. Kansas City Chiefs.

But what is our Football Power Index? It is our predictive model that includes ratings and projections for every NFL team, from how good they are on defense to what their chances are of winning their division. During this offseason, ESPN Analytics executed an overhaul of the model, and a full description of changes and improvements can be found at the bottom. One key change to point out: The preseason version of FPI has been untethered from betting markets, which previously were heavy drivers of the offseason model. But enough about the math, let's talk football. Here are eight takeaways from the ratings -- and a detailed explanation of changes to the model -- starting with the league's best team. It's not a shock to see the Bills at the top of the rankings, considering the team's performance last season.

Football power index nfl

But interestingly, the model actually views the Philadelphia Eagles -- who lost to the Chiefs in the title game last season -- as the Super Bowl favorite. In the preseason, the model's predictive ratings are based substantially on win totals from Caesars Sportsbook and strength of schedule, along with factors such as past team performance and returning starters. We use team ratings to simulate the season thousands of times, creating our projections, which update every day during the season.

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But Sunday's grievance felt desperate and petty for a team that has been the league's preeminent organization over the past five years. And while they yield plenty of yards on defense -- Green Bay had eight plays of plus yards Sunday -- the Steelers are strong in departments that mean more: sacks, takeaways and points allowed. Katie Witham. Kevin Burkhardt. Michael DeCourcy. With Thanksgiving in the rearview, we're heading into the home stretch of the NFL regular season. Dutch Shield. By my count, nine players who started games in are headed for free agency, as well as kicker Ka'imi Fairbairn. Joe Davis. The Bengals and Bills lost at home. Wests Tigers. The Jaguars' defense is reeling, having allowed backup quarterbacks to dice them up two weeks in a row. They also have to find more weapons on offense. Houston Texans. With the NFL season now officially in the books, how does the rest of the league shake out?

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With Herbert as the foundation, I'm optimistic Harbaugh can rebuild quickly. Atlanta Dream. Tennessee Titans. Chargers GM doubles down on goal of multiple titles. Jay Glazer. Golden State Warriors. It makes sense. You want to gripe about the lack of a call late against the Packers? Maybe this is the year? Colombian PA. Aly Wagner.