Fxdaily
March may not give us conclusive answers on US inflation, fxdaily, the economy or on when the Fed will cut, but it will tell us fxdaily markets now require fxdaily US data declines to re-enter easing bets. The dollar may still struggle to find clear direction in March, fxdaily, but we expect USD bearish pressure to intensify from the second quarter. US PCE figures - released yesterday - confirmed what most had expected: inflation stayed too hot in January.
US equity benchmarks continue to push higher as most of the big tech stocks close in on bullish target prices. Chinese equities, however, continue to languish as Chinese authorities institute an array of measures to slow the decline. This divergence can only be helping the dollar. Today we have policy meetings in the Czech Republic and Mexico. US asset markets are having a good few weeks.
Fxdaily
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This combined with a dovish forecast and the fxdaily of very low inflation next week should result in a dovish outcome for the market either way, fxdaily.
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Fxdaily
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The CNB will release a new forecast which we think will bring a few changes that we discuss in our preview. Today, flash inflation estimates for the eurozone area are published, and the consensus is for a slowdown to 2. However, we see some chance for a slight improvement. In this article. There is a risk that it hits the Companies House does not verify the accuracy of the information filed link opens a new window. Francesco Pesole. Content Disclaimer This publication has been prepared by ING solely for information purposes irrespective of a particular user's means, financial situation or investment objectives. There is a risk that the message turns a bit more dovish opening more explicitly to rate cuts and hits CAD, but that should not change the picture dramatically for the loonie considering how much BoC expectations are tied to Fed pricing. But from the equity analyst community anyway, the consensus is that there is more to come.
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US PCE figures - released yesterday - confirmed what most had expected: inflation stayed too hot in January. March may not give us conclusive answers on US inflation, the economy or on when the Fed will cut, but it will tell us whether markets now require sharper US data declines to re-enter easing bets. China's stuttering economy suggests those conditions are far from being met. However, we see some chance for a slight improvement. Ultimately, we think the market is underpricing both Fed and BoC easing cycles, but March may be too early for a big dovish repricing. Skip to main content. The information does not constitute investment recommendation, and nor is it investment, legal or tax advice or an offer or solicitation to purchase or sell any financial instrument. We suspect the dollar will continue to trade on the firm side heading into this ET release on Friday - but the dollar could sell off afterwards and risk assets could rally, should these revisions not upset the US disinflation story. This divergence can only be helping the dollar. Tell us what you think of this service link opens a new window Is there anything wrong with this page?
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